Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 3.073553 3.243665 3.423612 3.629084 3.858400 4.107875 4.401763
2025-04-27 2.850453 3.088402 3.353031 3.672603 4.052952 4.497774 5.067853
2025-05-04 2.705044 2.997248 3.336699 3.768125 4.314397 5.002406 5.970230
2025-05-11 2.551829 2.879303 3.273691 3.797500 4.498955 5.447624 6.918013
2025-05-18 2.400723 2.748628 3.180141 3.774994 4.611973 5.821812 7.890541
2025-05-25 2.231492 2.580899 3.023344 3.649896 4.564729 5.958067 8.547028
2025-06-01 2.112325 2.467471 2.926502 3.594509 4.608344 6.243179 9.592418
2025-06-08 2.016713 2.377374 2.852487 3.562007 4.680370 6.592339 10.958957
2025-06-15 1.946851 2.316110 2.812017 3.572675 4.821095 7.100141 13.054008
2025-06-22 1.857014 2.222191 2.718744 3.493894 4.801255 7.300901 14.549256
2025-06-29 1.765463 2.121026 2.608613 3.379048 4.703580 7.322459 15.561776
2025-07-06 1.693201 2.042892 2.526829 3.301673 4.662377 7.457716 17.177802
2025-07-13 1.650107 2.007706 2.511660 3.340407 4.861304 8.256997 23.427261
2025-07-20 1.611926 1.977561 2.502235 3.388825 5.093183 9.273977 36.134384
2025-07-27 1.586150 1.963704 2.516442 3.479716 5.435890 10.851741 82.800589
2025-08-03 1.548317 1.930177 2.497896 3.511569 5.664540 12.307777 487.965923
2025-08-10 1.503402 1.883863 2.456070 3.496837 5.786828 13.537375 NaN
2025-08-17 1.443288 1.812244 2.369713 3.391275 5.671938 13.707083 NaN
2025-08-24 1.399434 1.763228 2.317181 3.345251 5.698703 14.612693 NaN
2025-08-31 1.362481 1.723032 2.276676 3.318512 5.771166 15.896264 NaN
2025-09-07 1.335111 1.696165 2.256397 3.329188 5.947654 18.145805 NaN
2025-09-14 1.295206 1.648513 2.199050 3.260838 5.891899 18.831972 NaN
2025-09-21 1.251812 1.594110 2.128131 3.160147 5.728469 18.562522 NaN